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Arweave (AR) news: what is happening today

Cryptocurrency
Recorded events
40
Latest
2026-07-15
Arweave

Market summary from our own Hyperliquid data · updated 2026-07-25 04:14 UTC

Arweave falls 4.49% in a week, as our model stays defensive

Arweave is down 4.49% over a week. What follows is what sits behind that move: large-wallet positioning, derivatives, our own model.

What matters on Arweave right now?

Our own rules-based model reads Arweave at 34/100, which is SELL territory. What stands out right now:

What does the Arweave data show?

1. The trend still points down

Price trades below its 50-day average and below its 200-day, with the two averages 9.97% apart. Market structure is still making lower highs and lower lows. The most recent daily candle pattern is doji. RSI (14) is 40.5.

2. Arweave is parked in the lower third of its 90-day range

Arweave is 9% of the way up its 90-day range, which runs from $1.744 to $2.832; over 30 days the market is +0.81%. The same headline number means something different at the top of a range than at the bottom — which is why position is worth naming.

3. Where the leverage sits

Perpetual funding runs at 10.95% annualised, so longs are paying shorts to keep their positions open. Funding is a crowding tax: the more one-sided the book, the more it costs to stay on that side, and the more likely the weakest hands there get squeezed out. Open interest stands at $1.2 M — that is the size of the leveraged book that has to be closed eventually.

Funding (annualised)+10.9%
Open interest$1.2 M

What has already happened to Arweave?

July 2026

  • MACDreconstructed
    AR’s MACD crossed into bullish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles

June 2026

  • MACDreconstructed
    AR’s MACD crossed into bearish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles
  • Sharp movereconstructed
    Arweave moved +20.07% in a day, 3.2× its 30-day volatility30-day standard deviation of daily returns 6.19%
    +20.07%
  • Volumereconstructed
    AR traded $5.0 M, 10.2× its 30-day median volume while price moved +20.07%30-day median volume $493 K
    +20.07%
Show the earlier history (36 more entries)

May 2026

  • MACDreconstructed
    AR’s MACD crossed into bullish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles
  • New highreconstructed
    Arweave closed at a 90-day high of $2.757Previous peak of the 90-day window $2.633, exceeded by 4.68%
    +4.68%
  • New highreconstructed
    Arweave closed at a 90-day high of $2.633Previous peak of the 90-day window $2.235, exceeded by 17.81%
    +17.81%
  • Sharp movereconstructed
    Arweave moved +17.81% in a day, 3.5× its 30-day volatility30-day standard deviation of daily returns 5.01%
    +17.81%
  • Volumereconstructed
    AR traded $2.7 M, 6.5× its 30-day median volume while price moved +17.81%30-day median volume $419 K
    +17.81%

April 2026

  • MACDreconstructed
    AR’s MACD crossed into bearish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles
  • Volumereconstructed
    AR traded $3.4 M, 7.8× its 30-day median volume while price moved +14.06%30-day median volume $429 K
    +14.06%

March 2026

  • MACDreconstructed
    AR’s MACD crossed into bearish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles
  • Sharp movereconstructed
    Arweave moved +15.63% in a day, 3.9× its 30-day volatility30-day standard deviation of daily returns 4.00%
    +15.63%
  • New lowreconstructed
    Arweave closed at a 180-day low of $1.531Previous trough of the 180-day window $1.594, undercut by 3.92%
    −3.92%

February 2026

  • New lowreconstructed
    Arweave closed at a 180-day low of $1.625Previous trough of the 180-day window $1.766, undercut by 7.97%
    −7.97%
  • Volumereconstructed
    AR traded $2.4 M, 4.4× its 30-day median volume while price moved −3.37%30-day median volume $546 K
    −3.37%
  • MACDreconstructed
    AR’s MACD crossed into bullish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles
  • New lowreconstructed
    Arweave closed at a 180-day low of $1.766Previous trough of the 180-day window $1.825, undercut by 3.25%
    −3.25%
  • New lowreconstructed
    Arweave closed at a 180-day low of $1.825Previous trough of the 180-day window $1.910, undercut by 4.46%
    −4.46%
  • New lowreconstructed
    Arweave closed at a 180-day low of $2.004Previous trough of the 180-day window $2.424, undercut by 17.31%
    −17.31%
  • Sharp movereconstructed
    Arweave moved −17.31% in a day, 4.2× its 30-day volatility30-day standard deviation of daily returns 4.09%
    −17.31%
  • New lowreconstructed
    Arweave closed at a 180-day low of $2.445Previous trough of the 180-day window $2.572, undercut by 4.94%
    −4.94%

January 2026

  • New lowreconstructed
    Arweave closed at a 180-day low of $2.572Previous trough of the 180-day window $2.905, undercut by 11.44%
    −11.44%
  • New lowreconstructed
    Arweave closed at a 180-day low of $2.905Previous trough of the 180-day window $3.006, undercut by 3.37%
    −3.37%
  • New lowreconstructed
    Arweave closed at a 180-day low of $3.006Previous trough of the 180-day window $3.184, undercut by 5.59%
    −5.59%
  • Sharp movereconstructed
    Arweave moved +12.24% in a day, 3.1× its 30-day volatility30-day standard deviation of daily returns 3.95%
    +12.24%

December 2025

  • New lowreconstructed
    Arweave closed at a 180-day low of $3.184Previous trough of the 180-day window $3.374, undercut by 5.63%
    −5.63%
  • New lowreconstructed
    Arweave closed at a 180-day low of $3.374Previous trough of the 180-day window $3.541, undercut by 4.72%
    −4.72%

November 2025

  • Volumereconstructed
    AR traded $7.2 M, 6.7× its 30-day median volume while price moved +2.64%30-day median volume $1.1 M
    +2.64%
  • Volumereconstructed
    AR traded $23.5 M, 26.3× its 30-day median volume while price moved +38.15%30-day median volume $892 K
    +38.15%
  • Sharp movereconstructed
    Arweave moved +33.42% in a day, 3.7× its 30-day volatility30-day standard deviation of daily returns 9.10%
    +33.42%
  • Volumereconstructed
    AR traded $2.5 M, 3.1× its 30-day median volume while price moved −5.43%30-day median volume $797 K
    −5.43%
  • Sharp movereconstructed
    Arweave moved +26.04% in a day, 3.7× its 30-day volatility30-day standard deviation of daily returns 7.10%
    +26.04%

October 2025

  • New lowreconstructed
    Arweave closed at a 90-day low of $3.560Previous trough of the 90-day window $3.793, undercut by 6.16%
    −6.16%
  • Volumereconstructed
    AR traded $2.1 M, 3.3× its 30-day median volume while price moved +6.37%30-day median volume $634 K
    +6.37%
  • New lowreconstructed
    Arweave closed at a 90-day low of $3.969Previous trough of the 90-day window $5.454, undercut by 27.23%
    −27.23%
  • Sharp movereconstructed
    Arweave moved −30.37% in a day, 7.9× its 30-day volatility30-day standard deviation of daily returns 3.83%
    −30.37%
  • Volumereconstructed
    AR traded $2.6 M, 9.1× its 30-day median volume while price moved −30.37%30-day median volume $284 K
    −30.37%

August 2025

  • Open interestreconstructed
    AR open interest fell 54.66% to $1.6 M while price moved −12.90%: longs unwindingCompared with a point 1 day(s) earlier; rule: price and open interest moving together means new positions
    −12.90%
  • Open interestreconstructed
    AR open interest rose 59.60% to $3.4 M while price moved +8.23%: new longs buildingCompared with a point 1 day(s) earlier; rule: price and open interest moving together means new positions
    +8.23%

Entries are produced by the Spottrench algorithm from Hyperliquid data.

What is next for Arweave?

Dates we can verify and levels that would change the read on Arweave. No project roadmaps here — only schedules that exist on-chain or in the company calendar, and thresholds measured from our own data.

  • Close below $1.744 (5.09% away)That is the floor of the 90-day range. A daily close below it undercuts the structure and would file a breakdown entry in the log above.
  • Golden cross is 9.97% awayThe 50-day average sits 9.97% below the 200-day. If they cross, the medium-term trend signal changes sign — a slow event, but one that usually holds for months rather than days.
  • Model's 30-day marker: $1.789 (−2.64%)A deterministic projection from the same combined signal, damped by volatility. It is arithmetic, not a forecast anyone stands behind — and certainly not advice.

Unlock schedule from DefiLlama; earnings dates from the company calendar.

The bottom line

Pulling it together, our combined signal reads SELL (34/100, where 50 is neutral). On the last closed day Arweave fell 0.04% against a category median of +0.00%, with 88 of 177 markets in the category closing lower. We do not claim to know why Arweave moved — everything above is measurement, not a cause.

Full AR factor breakdown and price prediction →

Frequently asked questions

What is the latest news on Arweave?

The most recent development we recorded is: The trend still points down (2026-07-25). This page is a dated log computed from market data rather than a press feed — every entry is a measurement with the date it happened.

How often is the Arweave page updated?

Once a day: it is recomputed after the daily candle closes, and the time of the last update is printed at the top of the page. Log entries are dated by the day the event happened, not the day we published it.

Where does the Arweave data on this page come from?

From Hyperliquid directly: daily candles, open interest, funding and the on-chain positions of active large wallets. Nothing here is copied from another site's article, and no language model writes the text — the wording is generated from the numbers by fixed rules.

Is this Arweave page investment advice?

No. It is an algorithmic summary of measured market data from Hyperliquid — price moves, positioning, derivatives and our own model. It is not investment advice and past performance does not guarantee future results.

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