UMA (UMA) news: what is happening today
Market summary from our own Hyperliquid data · updated 2026-07-25 04:14 UTC
UMA falls 5.60% in a month, as our model stays defensive
UMA is down 5.60% over a month. What follows is what sits behind that move: large-wallet positioning, derivatives, our own model.
What matters on UMA right now?
Our own rules-based model reads UMA at 32/100, which is SELL territory. What stands out right now:
- MACD turned bearishMACD turned bearish, with price below the 50-day average.
- UMA is parked in the lower third of its 90-day range3% of the way up a 90-day range that runs $0.3482 to $0.5781.
- Where the leverage sitsFunding runs at 14.18% a year — shorts pay longs, with $308 K of open interest.
What does the UMA data show?
1. MACD turned bearish
MACD flipped bearish: the fast average of price pulled below the slow one, which is the earliest of the trend signals we track and the noisiest. Market structure is sideways — no sequence of higher or lower swings. The most recent daily candle pattern is three black crows. RSI (14) is 38.0.
2. UMA is parked in the lower third of its 90-day range
UMA is 3% of the way up its 90-day range, which runs from $0.3482 to $0.5781; over 30 days the market is −5.60%. The same headline number means something different at the top of a range than at the bottom — which is why position is worth naming.
3. Where the leverage sits
Perpetual funding runs at 14.18% annualised, so shorts are paying longs to keep their positions open. Funding is a crowding tax: the more one-sided the book, the more it costs to stay on that side, and the more likely the weakest hands there get squeezed out. Open interest stands at $308 K — that is the size of the leveraged book that has to be closed eventually.
What has already happened to UMA?
July 2026
- UMA’s MACD crossed into bearish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles
June 2026
- UMA closed higher 7 sessions in a row, +18.91% over the streak7 consecutive closed daily candles in the same direction+18.91%
- UMA’s MACD crossed into bullish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles
- UMA closed at a 180-day low of $0.3702Previous trough of the 180-day window $0.3869, undercut by 4.30%−4.30%
- UMA RSI entered oversold territory at 29.5RSI was 34.7 the day before; the bands are 30 and 70
Show the earlier history (31 more entries)
May 2026
- UMA RSI entered overbought territory at 70.3RSI was 67.5 the day before; the bands are 30 and 70
April 2026
- UMA’s MACD crossed into bearish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles
March 2026
- UMA closed at a 180-day low of $0.3921Previous trough of the 180-day window $0.4056, undercut by 3.31%−3.31%
- UMA’s MACD crossed into bearish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles
- UMA closed at a 180-day low of $0.4141Previous trough of the 180-day window $0.4329, undercut by 4.36%−4.36%
February 2026
- UMA closed at a 180-day low of $0.4398Previous trough of the 180-day window $0.4646, undercut by 5.35%−5.35%
- UMA’s MACD crossed into bullish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles
- UMA closed at a 180-day low of $0.4699Previous trough of the 180-day window $0.5572, undercut by 15.65%−15.65%
- UMA moved −16.06% in a day, 4.6× its 30-day volatility30-day standard deviation of daily returns 3.49%−16.06%
January 2026
- UMA closed at a 180-day low of $0.5735Previous trough of the 180-day window $0.6286, undercut by 8.77%−8.77%
- UMA RSI entered oversold territory at 27.1RSI was 33.7 the day before; the bands are 30 and 70
- UMA closed at a 180-day low of $0.6286Previous trough of the 180-day window $0.6570, undercut by 4.32%−4.32%
- UMA’s MACD crossed into bearish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles
December 2025
- UMA’s MACD crossed into bullish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles
- UMA closed at a 180-day low of $0.6690Previous trough of the 180-day window $0.6994, undercut by 4.35%−4.35%
- UMA RSI entered oversold territory at 27.6RSI was 30.5 the day before; the bands are 30 and 70
- UMA closed at a 180-day low of $0.6994Previous trough of the 180-day window $0.7290, undercut by 4.07%−4.07%
- UMA closed at a 90-day low of $0.7417Previous trough of the 90-day window $0.7738, undercut by 4.15%−4.15%
- UMA closed at a 90-day low of $0.7738Previous trough of the 90-day window $0.8087, undercut by 4.33%−4.33%
November 2025
- UMA’s MACD crossed into bullish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles
October 2025
- UMA’s MACD crossed into bearish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles
- UMA closed at a 90-day low of $0.8269Previous trough of the 90-day window $1.141, undercut by 27.56%−27.56%
- UMA moved −32.01% in a day, 10.8× its 30-day volatility30-day standard deviation of daily returns 2.96%−32.01%
- UMA’s MACD crossed into bearish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles
September 2025
- UMA’s MACD crossed into bullish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles
- UMA closed higher 7 sessions in a row, +7.47% over the streak7 consecutive closed daily candles in the same direction+7.47%
August 2025
- UMA traded $2.8 M, 16.5× its 30-day median volume while price moved +0.01%30-day median volume $168 K+0.01%
- UMA’s MACD crossed into bullish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles
July 2025
- UMA’s MACD crossed into bearish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles
- UMA moved +33.56% in a day, 9.6× its 30-day volatility30-day standard deviation of daily returns 3.49%+33.56%
- UMA traded $3.9 M, 41.4× its 30-day median volume while price moved +33.56%30-day median volume $94 K+33.56%
Entries are produced by the Spottrench algorithm from Hyperliquid data.
What is next for UMA?
Dates we can verify and levels that would change the read on UMA. No project roadmaps here — only schedules that exist on-chain or in the company calendar, and thresholds measured from our own data.
Unlock schedule from DefiLlama; earnings dates from the company calendar.
The bottom line
Pulling it together, our combined signal reads SELL (32/100, where 50 is neutral). On the last closed day UMA rose 0.56% against a category median of +0.00%, with 88 of 177 markets in the category closing lower. We do not claim to know why UMA moved — everything above is measurement, not a cause.
Frequently asked questions
What is the latest news on UMA?
The most recent development we recorded is: MACD turned bearish (2026-07-09). This page is a dated log computed from market data rather than a press feed — every entry is a measurement with the date it happened.
How often is the UMA page updated?
Once a day: it is recomputed after the daily candle closes, and the time of the last update is printed at the top of the page. Log entries are dated by the day the event happened, not the day we published it.
Where does the UMA data on this page come from?
From Hyperliquid directly: daily candles, open interest, funding and the on-chain positions of active large wallets. Nothing here is copied from another site's article, and no language model writes the text — the wording is generated from the numbers by fixed rules.
Is this UMA page investment advice?
No. It is an algorithmic summary of measured market data from Hyperliquid — price moves, positioning, derivatives and our own model. It is not investment advice and past performance does not guarantee future results.
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