Semiconductor ETF (SMH) Price Prediction
Combined signal
Rules-based score — 48 out of 100, where 50 is neutral. Four factor groups, 4 of 4 available (100% of model weight).
How the score adds up
Each group is scored from −1 to +1, multiplied by its weight, and the results are added to a base of 50. The verdict follows from the total: 56 and above — buy, 44 and below — sell, in between — neutral. Whale positioning is never sign-flipped at extremes; a crowded book lowers the stability figure instead. In a broad market drawdown most assets score below 50 — the scale is absolute, not relative to other markets.
Semiconductor ETF forecast for tomorrow, 7 days, 30 days and 1 year
Base price — $565.730: not the live price, a single reference point for all four horizons.
Distant reference: treat it as a scenario with high uncertainty.
From the August 21, 2026 snapshot the model estimates SMH at $565.281 for the next day, $564.697 in a week, $563.862 in 30 days and $560.639 in a year. The calculation refreshes with each new daily Hyperliquid data snapshot.
What does “calculation stability” mean?
A technical score that goes down with high recent volatility and with a longer horizon. For example, 87/100 does not mean an 87% probability of reaching the target and is not the model’s historical accuracy. Real accuracy has to be measured separately on completed forecasts and shown together with the sample size.We do that in public: every daily forecast is frozen in the forecast ledger and scored against real archived outcomes. Forecast ledger →
Targets are computed by rules: trend, whale positioning, price action and volatility.
Whale positions
We monitor active wallets on Hyperliquid. Below is how many of them are long or short SMH, the total size of their positions and their average entry prices — the same levels are drawn on the price chart above.
Aggregated from active Hyperliquid wallets · updated 2026-08-21 04:14 UTC
Price chart
Blue — SMA 50, orange — SMA 200. Hyperliquid data. Dashed lines — average whale entry prices. Both sides are built from a sample of large Hyperliquid wallets — up to a few hundred positions per market, a small share of all open positions. An empty level means we saw nothing there, not that nothing is there.
Sentiment
Positioning of active Hyperliquid wallets and technical indicator consensus.
Price action
Patterns and market structure are detected automatically from closed Hyperliquid daily candles.
Indicator signals
| Indicator | State | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Price vs SMA 50 | Below average | SELL |
| RSI (14) | Neutral | NEUTRAL |
| MACD | Bearish crossover | SELL |
| Bollinger Bands | Inside channel | NEUTRAL |
| Momentum (10d) | Falling | SELL |
| Hyperliquid whales | Big money is long | BUY |
| Whale count | More wallets short | SELL |
| Volume trend | Normal / drying up | NEUTRAL |
| Open interest (7d) | Falling / flat | NEUTRAL |
Our trading algorithm on Semiconductor ETF
The combined signal above is a read. This is a separate, narrower system that actually takes positions: a mean-reversion strategy that only trades when the whole market has moved and started to stall. The two are independent and may disagree.
Recorded, not executed
Trading volume
Daily USD volume from Hyperliquid candles (green up-days, red down-days).
Open interest
Open interest in USD — one point per day, Hyperliquid data.
Price scenarios
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FAQ
What is the Semiconductor ETF price prediction for today?
The page scores four weighted factor groups on a single 0-100 scale where 50 is neutral: trend and moving averages, the long/short positioning of active Hyperliquid whales, price action and market structure, and mean reversion when the market is ranging. The SMH verdict follows from that score — 56 and above is buy, 44 and below is sell. It is rebuilt from the daily snapshot; the price refreshes from Hyperliquid when the page opens.
Is SMH a buy or a sell right now?
The verdict on this page shows the current aggregate signal for SMH. It is a technical snapshot of this market, not financial advice: check the indicator table and the whale positioning before making any decision.
What do Hyperliquid whale positions mean for SMH?
We aggregate the open SMH positions of active Hyperliquid wallets. When large traders are heavily long or short, the dashed lines on the chart show their average entry prices — the levels where their positions were built. If no large wallet holds SMH, the page says so.
How accurate are Semiconductor ETF predictions?
No prediction is guaranteed. Technical indicators and algorithmic targets describe probabilities, and even the largest traders are regularly wrong. Use this page as one input among many and always manage your risk.
Market movers
ENA
PEOPLE
kNEIRO
BOME
ACE
CRV
MRNA
SHAZ
CRWD
USAR
BIRD
CBRSThe forecast and price targets are generated automatically from technical indicators, volatility and public derivatives data; they do not guarantee future results. Whale positions are not a call to action — large traders are often wrong too.