MicroStrategy (MSTR) news: what is happening today

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2026-06-29
MicroStrategy

Market summary from our own Hyperliquid data · updated 2026-07-25 04:14 UTC

MicroStrategy climbs 6.78% in a month, as our model stays defensive

MicroStrategy is up 6.78% over a month. What follows is what sits behind that move: large-wallet positioning, derivatives, our own model and publisher headlines.

What matters on MicroStrategy right now?

Our own rules-based model reads MicroStrategy at 44/100, which is SELL territory. What stands out right now:

What does the MicroStrategy data show?

1. Whale positioning is close to balanced

53% of active large-wallet money on MicroStrategy is positioned long right now: $6.7 M long against $6.0 M short, spread over 62 wallets on Hyperliquid. With the book close to even, whale positioning is not telling you much here — the useful reads are the chart and the derivatives below. These are open positions read from the chain, not opinions, and they change daily.

Long money$6.7 M · 23 wallets
Short money$6.0 M · 39 wallets

2. The trend still points down

Price trades below its 50-day average and below its 200-day, with the two averages 24.57% apart. Market structure is still making higher highs and higher lows. The most recent daily candle pattern is three black crows. RSI (14) is 40.6.

3. MicroStrategy is parked in the lower third of its 90-day range

MicroStrategy is 10% of the way up its 90-day range, which runs from $79.951 to $197.070; over 30 days the market is +6.78%. The same headline number means something different at the top of a range than at the bottom — which is why position is worth naming.

How has MicroStrategy been reporting?

Actual earnings against what analysts expected, quarter by quarter.

  • below estimate
    $-38.25 vs $-4.39 expected
  • below estimate
    $-42.93 vs $3.03 expected
  • above estimate
    $8.42 vs $8.31 expected
    +1.3%
  • above estimate
    $32.60 vs $-0.09 expected

Reported figures and consensus estimates — Finnhub.

What has already happened to MicroStrategy?

June 2026

  • Volumereconstructed
    MSTR traded $94.2 M, 5.8× its 30-day median volume while price moved +13.49%30-day median volume $16.1 M
    +13.49%
  • New lowreconstructed
    MicroStrategy closed at a 180-day low of $82.803Previous trough of the 180-day window $85.480, undercut by 3.13%
    −3.13%
  • New lowreconstructed
    MicroStrategy closed at a 180-day low of $85.480Previous trough of the 180-day window $96.917, undercut by 11.80%
    −11.80%
  • New lowreconstructed
    MicroStrategy closed at a 180-day low of $96.917Previous trough of the 180-day window $104.800, undercut by 7.52%
    −7.52%
  • Volumereconstructed
    MSTR traded $53.0 M, 3.8× its 30-day median volume while price moved −7.52%30-day median volume $13.9 M
    −7.52%
  • RSIreconstructed
    MSTR RSI entered oversold territory at 27.9RSI was 31.5 the day before; the bands are 30 and 70
  • New lowreconstructed
    MicroStrategy closed at a 90-day low of $104.800Previous trough of the 90-day window $110.290, undercut by 4.98%
    −4.98%
  • Volumereconstructed
    MSTR traded $40.9 M, 3.6× its 30-day median volume while price moved −5.37%30-day median volume $11.4 M
    −5.37%
  • MACDreconstructed
    MSTR’s MACD crossed into bullish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles
  • Volumereconstructed
    MSTR traded $35.8 M, 3.9× its 30-day median volume while price moved +4.26%30-day median volume $9.1 M
    +4.26%
  • RSIreconstructed
    MSTR RSI entered oversold territory at 29.4RSI was 36.8 the day before; the bands are 30 and 70

April 2026

  • Volumereconstructed
    MSTR traded $28.6 M, 3.9× its 30-day median volume while price moved +3.69%30-day median volume $7.3 M
    +3.69%
  • MACDreconstructed
    MSTR’s MACD crossed into bearish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles
  • New highreconstructed
    MicroStrategy closed at a 90-day high of $177.680Previous peak of the 90-day window $170.570, exceeded by 4.17%
    +4.17%
  • Sharp movereconstructed
    MicroStrategy moved +12.07% in a day, 3.8× its 30-day volatility30-day standard deviation of daily returns 3.21%
    +12.07%
  • Volumereconstructed
    MSTR traded $22.2 M, 3.7× its 30-day median volume while price moved +12.07%30-day median volume $6.0 M
    +12.07%
  • RSIreconstructed
    MSTR RSI entered overbought territory at 76.9RSI was 67.8 the day before; the bands are 30 and 70
  • Sharp movereconstructed
    MicroStrategy moved +8.36% in a day, 3.0× its 30-day volatility30-day standard deviation of daily returns 2.75%
    +8.36%
Show the earlier history (10 more entries)

March 2026

  • MACDreconstructed
    MSTR’s MACD crossed into bearish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles

February 2026

  • MACDreconstructed
    MSTR’s MACD crossed into bullish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles
  • Sharp movereconstructed
    MicroStrategy moved −17.79% in a day, 4.5× its 30-day volatility30-day standard deviation of daily returns 3.93%
    −17.79%
  • RSIreconstructed
    MSTR RSI entered oversold territory at 29.2RSI was 31.2 the day before; the bands are 30 and 70
  • Volumereconstructed
    MSTR traded $28.0 M, 4.5× its 30-day median volume while price moved +3.43%30-day median volume $6.2 M
    +3.43%

January 2026

  • Sharp movereconstructed
    MicroStrategy moved −9.50% in a day, 3.2× its 30-day volatility30-day standard deviation of daily returns 2.99%
    −9.50%
  • Volumereconstructed
    MSTR traded $19.5 M, 4.3× its 30-day median volume while price moved +0.48%30-day median volume $4.5 M
    +0.48%
  • Sharp movereconstructed
    MicroStrategy moved +9.65% in a day, 3.7× its 30-day volatility30-day standard deviation of daily returns 2.59%
    +9.65%
  • Volumereconstructed
    MSTR traded $13.2 M, 3.2× its 30-day median volume while price moved −4.08%30-day median volume $4.2 M
    −4.08%
  • MACDreconstructed
    MSTR’s MACD crossed into bullish territoryMACD line against its own signal line on closed daily candles

Entries are produced by the Spottrench algorithm from Hyperliquid data.

What is in the news about MicroStrategy?

Headlines about MicroStrategy from third-party publishers. Each links to the original article; we never claim a headline moved the price — our own read is the measured signal above.

Headlines from publisher RSS feeds

What is next for MicroStrategy?

Dates we can verify and levels that would change the read on MicroStrategy. No project roadmaps here — only schedules that exist on-chain or in the company calendar, and thresholds measured from our own data.

  • scheduled
    Earnings report in 5 daysMicroStrategy reports on this date, with the street looking for $-1.17 per share on $125.4 M of revenue. The company has beaten the EPS estimate in 2 of the last 4 quarters.
  • Close below $79.951 (12.41% away)That is the floor of the 90-day range. A daily close below it undercuts the structure and would file a breakdown entry in the log above.
  • Model's 30-day marker: $89.646 (−1.78%)A deterministic projection from the same combined signal, damped by volatility. It is arithmetic, not a forecast anyone stands behind — and certainly not advice.

Unlock schedule from DefiLlama; earnings dates from the company calendar.

The bottom line

Pulling it together, our combined signal reads SELL (44/100, where 50 is neutral). On the last closed day MicroStrategy rose 0.00% against a category median of +0.18%, with 22 of 65 markets in the category closing lower. We do not claim to know why MicroStrategy moved — everything above is measurement, not a cause.

Frequently asked questions

What is the latest news on MicroStrategy?

The most recent development we recorded is: Whale positioning is close to balanced (2026-07-25). This page is a dated log computed from market data rather than a press feed — every entry is a measurement with the date it happened.

How often is the MicroStrategy page updated?

Once a day: it is recomputed after the daily candle closes, and the time of the last update is printed at the top of the page. Log entries are dated by the day the event happened, not the day we published it.

Where does the MicroStrategy data on this page come from?

From Hyperliquid directly: daily candles, open interest, funding and the on-chain positions of active large wallets. Nothing here is copied from another site's article, and no language model writes the text — the wording is generated from the numbers by fixed rules.

Is this MicroStrategy page investment advice?

No. It is an algorithmic summary of measured market data from Hyperliquid — price moves, positioning, derivatives and our own model. It is not investment advice and past performance does not guarantee future results.

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